ARMA-Jump Time Series Model ========================================================== AR(1) model with jump component Data generation process: .. math:: x_t = \left[ c(1-\alpha) + \alpha x_{t-1} \right] + (1-z_t) \sigma \epsilon_t + z_t \left[ -3c + 2\sigma \epsilon_t \right] where :math:`\epsilon_t \sim N(0,1)` denotes a Gaussian shock and :math:`z_t \sim B(1,p)` a Bernoulli distributed jump indicator with :math:`p` being the probability for a negative jump. .. automodule:: cde.density_simulation .. autoclass:: ArmaJump :members: